Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.049160 0.057368 0.066387 0.077014 0.089173 0.102630 0.118632
2025-03-30 0.037708 0.048656 0.061793 0.078641 0.099589 0.124684 0.156925
2025-04-06 0.028760 0.040625 0.056027 0.077308 0.105741 0.142184 0.192153
2025-04-13 0.022581 0.034630 0.051417 0.076201 0.111471 0.159400 0.228890
2025-04-20 0.019490 0.032134 0.050876 0.080174 0.124178 0.187007 0.282451
2025-04-27 0.016857 0.029718 0.049896 0.083123 0.135507 0.213668 0.337405
2025-05-04 0.013774 0.025937 0.046107 0.081037 0.138723 0.228474 0.376196
2025-05-11 0.011594 0.023216 0.043508 0.080311 0.143720 0.246175 0.420797
2025-05-18 0.009597 0.020412 0.040267 0.077922 0.145482 0.258639 0.457971
2025-05-25 0.008077 0.018199 0.037684 0.076228 0.148050 0.272422 0.498275
2025-06-01 0.007070 0.016803 0.036380 0.076623 0.154232 0.292724 0.551170
2025-06-08 0.005984 0.015021 0.034026 0.074638 0.155703 0.304761 0.590544
2025-06-15 0.005550 0.014623 0.034467 0.078338 0.168568 0.338825 0.672933
2025-06-22 0.004908 0.013614 0.033465 0.078944 0.175452 0.362514 0.738535
2025-06-29 0.004180 0.012242 0.031438 0.077075 0.177095 0.376381 0.786931
2025-07-06 0.003597 0.011106 0.029754 0.075701 0.179554 0.391980 0.839899
2025-07-13 0.003388 0.010930 0.030319 0.079504 0.193497 0.431662 0.943349
2025-07-20 0.003147 0.010609 0.030472 0.082351 0.205625 0.468646 1.044276
2025-07-27 0.002701 0.009589 0.028679 0.080243 0.206324 0.481864 1.097710
2025-08-03 0.002375 0.008855 0.027508 0.079503 0.210065 0.501803 1.166620
2025-08-10 0.002033 0.007981 0.025799 0.077126 0.209618 0.512540 1.216765
2025-08-17 0.001762 0.007273 0.024432 0.075442 0.210635 0.526540 1.274964
2025-08-24 0.001589 0.006862 0.023860 0.075831 0.216835 0.552738 1.361911